中国平安(2318.HK)：Key takeaways from Investor Day

机构：招银国际

We attended Ping An 2018 Investor Day on core finance recently, during which theGroup clarified a new framework to interpret its value and introduced strategies andachievements of its core finance business.

Understand value of the Group via operating profit. Ping An began to announceoperating profit in 2017, which is calculated as accounting net profiexcluding short-term investment variances between actual and assumption, impact of discount ratechanges and one-off material gains or losses. While the previous two are meaningfuladjustments to the Group’s life and health insurance business, one-off gains or losseswere mostly related to its technology business. Operating profit is acknowledged as abetter gauge to evaluate Ping An’s life insurance business and the Group in general.Steady growth in operating profit lends support for dividend growth.

Remarkable ROEV growth of life insurance business. In the past five years, Ping Anachieved an average ROEV growth of 24.7%, primarily driven by i) rapid increase andgeneration of new business value, ii) prudent assumptions and management ofinsurance risks, which lead to positive operating variances. We believe the above twodrivers will continue to boost value of Ping An Life. Technological application in PALhas gradually upgraded to 3.0 version. In previous 1.0 and 2.0 versions, PAL reducedservice manpower by 70%, and improved productivity by 32%. In the more ambitious3.0 version, PAL aims to save Rmb630mn training costs, expand high-performing agentteam by 20%, and promote sales by Rmb2.8bn.

“NII+” investment strategy and PAB transformation. (1) To deal with escalatingmarketing uncertainties, Ping An is dedicated to beefing up net investment income,which creates a cushion for insurance fund investment. NII increased at CAGR of 20.6%from 2008-2017. In 2017, NIY was 6.5% and NII covered 160% of life insurance claims.

(2) Leveraging the Group’s resources, PAB’s retail transformation achieved furthersuccess - over 50% revenue are now derived from retail banking. Since 2018, revenuegrowth and net interest income growth has been picking up and NIM reverseddeclining in 2Q18.

Valuation. The stock is now trading at 1.25x 1H18 Group embedded value. Core unitsPing An’s technology business are worth HK$9.9 per share, or equivalent to 13.6%of the Group’s market value. Excluding the above technology business units, Ping An’sP/EV valuation multiple would be 1.17x on 1H18 basis, above peers’ average.